Vi har registreret 8 nye dødsfald i det seneste døgn, Sverige 133.
Svenske Johan Giesecke mener, at alle lande, også Norge og Danmark, vil have dødscifre tilsvarende Sveriges, når støvet har lagt sig. Manden er ekspert, men det er en frisk holdning, som også deles af Tegnell. Vi kan ligeså godt rulle rundt på ryggen og gøre stort set ingenting, forekommer holdningen at være. Det virker uambitiøst. Deres dødsrate pr capita er højere end USAs.
Giesecke siger:
"PCR testing and some straightforward assumptions indicate that, as of April 29, 2020, more than half a million people in Stockholm county, Sweden, which is about 20-25% of the population, have been infected (Hansson D, Swedish Public Health Agency, personal communication). 98-99% of these people are probably unaware or uncertain of having had the infection; they either had symptoms that were severe, but not severe enough for them to go to a hospital and get tested, or no symptoms at all. Serology testing is now supporting these assumptions.4
These facts have led me to the following conclusions. Everyone will be exposed to severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2, and most people will become infected. COVID-19 is spreading like wildfire in all countries, but we do not see it-it almost always spreads from younger people with no or weak symptoms to other people who will also have mild symptoms. This is the real pandemic, but it goes on beneath the surface, and is probably at its peak now in many European countries. There is very little we can do to prevent this spread: a lockdown might delay severe cases for a while, but once restrictions are eased, cases will reappear. I expect that when we count the number of deaths from COVID-19 in each country in 1 year from now, the figures will be similar, regardless of measures taken."
Han regner med et ret stort mørketal. Hvis der i Danmark fx gik så mange smittede rundt blandt os uden symptomer, ville de før eller siden smitte nogen, som fik symptomer og blev testet. Hvem lader sig ikke teste i dag, hvis man udviser bare ét af symptomerne? Ikke mange vil være mit bud. Omgivelser og pårørende skal nok få presset en, hvis man prøver at lege helt.