Snak

Har I set mine nøgler?

Ingen påstår andet. Der er til gengæld en pladespiller, der sander tråden til med hjernedøde overdrivelser og logiske fejlslutninger.

Kan du så ikke fortælle os hvad den menige russer ved om hvad der foregår i Ukraine?

Jeg så for nylig en opgørelse (kan desværre ikke finde link) der viste at russerne i gennemsnit fik 72% af deres nyhedsformidling fra TV.

Der er kun statskontrollerede TV-kanaler tilbage, da de kritiske er lukkede. Ifølge disse har russerne eksempelvis ødelagt ca. 125% flere Himars-systemer end Ukraine har modtaget.

"Rygterne omkring Putins helbredsmæssige tilstand er igen blomstret op i de lækkede dokumenter fra Pentagon. Eftersigende skulle han modtage kemobehandling. Der er dog efterhånden så meget der flyver rundt omkring de lækager, at det er svært at finde hoved og hale i hvad der reelt kommer fra dokumenterne, og hvad der ikke gør."

Greenwald gav forleden dette skeptiske perspektiv på lækage-balladen:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uYpf08DK8LE
https://rumble.com/v2hf6k0-system-update-67.html

Lækager er som bekendt ofte lagkager med masser af politisk syltetøj & creme.

Lidt nyhedsproduktion/journalistik om den 21 årige knægt, som netop er bragt i kuk-kuk kassen:

https://www.nytimes.com/live/2023/04/13/us/documents-leak-pentagon
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/national-security/us-officials-identify-leaked-classified-documents-suspect-21-year-old-rcna79577
https://edition.cnn.com/videos/us/2023/04/13/wapo-pentagon-leaks-interview-bertrand-cnntm-vpx.cnn

IMF har opdateret udsigterne for den russiske økonomi, en smule mere vækst, meget større offentligt underskud.
Begge drevet af større økonomiske udgifter til militæret.
Samtidigt så ryger betalingsbalancen også en tur, nok grundet mindre indtægter fra olie og gas.

https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2023/04/11/economic-momentum-prompts-imf-to-raise-russias-growth-forecast-a80795

After contracting by 2.1% last year, the IMF now sees Russia´s economy growing by 0.7% this year, up 0.4% points from a previous forecast in January.

The Russian economy is then forecast to grow by 1.3% in 2024, down 0.8% from the earlier forecast.

The IMF expects Russia´s budget deficit will reach 6.2% of GDP this year, according to a spokesperson. This would be almost three times the size of last year´s budget deficit.

Russia´s current account surplus is also predicted to decline sharply to 3.6% of GDP this year from 10.3% a year earlier, due to much weaker terms of trade, lower energy volumes, and a recovery of imports, the spokesperson said.

Måske er flere fakta/nyheder undsluppet eksperterne på bold.dk´s opmærksomhed, herunder bl.a. følgende:
https://theprint.in/world/japan-breaks-ranks-with-us-allies-purchases-russian-oil-at-price-higher-than-cap/1493835/
https://www.cnbc.com/2023/04/03/oil-prices-surge-after-opecs-surprise-cuts-analysts-warn-of-100-per-barrel.html

Morisot.
#Dette estimat fra FSB for døde og sårede inkluderer kun rene russiske tab og inkluderer derfor ikke døde og sårede fra udbryderrepublikkerne Donetsk og Luhansk, som jeg formoder er inkluderet i de amerikanske tal.#


Er du sikker på det ? Som jeg læser artiklen så er de netop includeret i de opgivne 110.000.

Citat fra artiklen:
# FSB skulle nemlig anklage Forsvarsministeriet for at sløre det rigtige antal døde russiske soldater i krigen.

Ifølge efterretningstjenesten har Forsvarsministeriet nemlig ikke inkluderet døde fra Ruslands nationalgarde, Wagner-gruppen eller soldater fra Tjetjenien. FSB har regnet sig frem til, at det reelle antal russiske sårede og døde er ´tættere på 110.000´.#
citat slut.


Sådan som jeg læser det så medregner de netop de andre tab med her.

Men som du skriver så disse oplysninger sikkert fra lang tid siden og ikke opdaterede.

Trump tager æren for Nordstream. Så er den debat lukket.

"Come the end of this fighting season, the United States and Europe will also have good reason to abandon their stated policy of supporting Ukraine for “as long as it takes,” as U.S. President Joe Biden has put it. Maintaining Ukraine’s existence as a sovereign and secure democracy is a priority, but achieving that goal does not require the country to recover full control of Crimea and the Donbas in the near term. Nor should the West worry that pushing for a cease-fire before Kyiv reclaims all its territory will cause the rules-based international order to crumble. Ukrainian fortitude and Western resolve have already rebuffed Russia’s effort to subjugate Ukraine, dealt Moscow a decisive strategic defeat, and demonstrated to other would-be revisionists that pursuing territorial conquest can be a costly and vexing enterprise. Yes, it is critical to minimize Russian gains and demonstrate that aggression doesn’t pay, but this goal must be weighed against other priorities.

The reality is that continued large-scale support of Kyiv carries broader strategic risks. The war is eroding the West’s military readiness and depleting its weapons stockpiles; the defense industrial base cannot keep up with Ukraine’s expenditure of equipment and ammunition. NATO countries cannot discount the possibility of direct hostilities with Russia, and the United States must prepare for potential military action in Asia (to deter or respond to any Chinese move against Taiwan) and in the Middle East (against Iran or terrorist networks).

The war is imposing high costs on the global economy, as well. It has disrupted supply chains, contributing to high inflation and energy and food shortages. The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development estimates that the war will reduce global economic output by $2.8 trillion in 2023. From France to Egypt to Peru, economic duress is triggering political unrest. The war is also polarizing the international system. As geopolitical rivalry between the Western democracies and a Chinese-Russian coalition augurs the return of a two-bloc world, most of the rest of the globe is sitting on the sidelines, preferring nonalignment to ensnarement in a new era of East-West rivalry. Disorder is radiating outward from the war in Ukraine.

Against this backdrop, neither Ukraine nor its NATO supporters can take Western unity for granted. American resolve is crucial for European staying power, but Washington faces mounting political pressure to reduce spending, rebuild U.S. readiness, and bulk up its capabilities in Asia. Now that Republicans control the House of Representatives, it will be harder for the Biden administration to secure sizable aid packages for Ukraine. And policy toward Ukraine could change significantly should Republicans win the White House in the 2024 election. It is time to ready a Plan B."
https://www.foreignaffairs.com/ukraine/russia-richard-haass-west-battlefield-negotiations

Foreign Affairs kaster lidt rundt med bl.a. koreanske og israelske løsningsmodeller i plan B - og runder af med at der er synlige grænser for hvor langt ´as long as it takes´ rækker for både amerikanerne og europæerne. Ihvertfald for nuværende.